HVAC Seasonal Capacity Planning
Size your crew for the summer and winter demand swing: how big is the peak-season gap, and is overtime or a temporary hire the cheaper way to cover it.
Sensitivity to peak season length
| Scenario | Overtime total | Hire total | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duration -20% | $25,350 | $27,960 | Lean overtime |
| Duration -10% | $28,518.75 | $31,080 | Lean overtime |
| Base case | $31,687.5 | $34,200 | Lean overtime |
| Duration +10% | $34,856.25 | $37,320 | Lean overtime |
| Duration +20% | $38,025 | $40,440 | Lean overtime |
Next Decision
Based on your results, these related decisions are available.
Methodology
Formula: peak gap = max(0, peak season demand - total crew capacity). If a gap exists, it's run through the same Hire vs. Overtime logic as that engine, using peak season length as the duration. Off-peak utilization = off-peak demand / total capacity.
Assumption: HVAC's summer/winter demand swing is the clearest seasonal capacity story of any trade, this engine models one peak season and one off-peak reading, not a full year-round curve.
Limitation: doesn't model a gradual ramp up or down in demand, or multiple distinct peak periods (e.g. separate summer and winter peaks with different sizes) in a single run.