HVAC

HVAC Seasonal Capacity Planning

Size your crew for the summer and winter demand swing: how big is the peak-season gap, and is overtime or a temporary hire the cheaper way to cover it.

Peak season strategyLean overtime
Peak gap50 hrs/week
Off-peak utilization68.8%

Sensitivity to peak season length

ScenarioOvertime totalHire totalStrategy
Duration -20%$25,350$27,960Lean overtime
Duration -10%$28,518.75$31,080Lean overtime
Base case$31,687.5$34,200Lean overtime
Duration +10%$34,856.25$37,320Lean overtime
Duration +20%$38,025$40,440Lean overtime

Next Decision

Based on your results, these related decisions are available.

Methodology

Formula: peak gap = max(0, peak season demand - total crew capacity). If a gap exists, it's run through the same Hire vs. Overtime logic as that engine, using peak season length as the duration. Off-peak utilization = off-peak demand / total capacity.

Assumption: HVAC's summer/winter demand swing is the clearest seasonal capacity story of any trade, this engine models one peak season and one off-peak reading, not a full year-round curve.

Limitation: doesn't model a gradual ramp up or down in demand, or multiple distinct peak periods (e.g. separate summer and winter peaks with different sizes) in a single run.