Line of Credit Sizing for Seasonal Cash Gaps
Size a line of credit against your real seasonal cash trough, net of your existing operating reserve, with a safety margin.
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Methodology
Formula: Monthly gap = max(low-month expenses - low-month revenue, 0). Trough shortfall = monthly gap × trough duration. Net of reserve = max(shortfall - current reserve, 0). Recommended LOC = net of reserve × (1 + safety margin).
Assumption: Sizes a credit line for a known, recurring seasonal pattern, not an unpredictable downturn.
Limitation: A business without a clear seasonal low month should use Operating Reserve Sizing for general risk buffering instead of this engine.